Poll: Formation of a new right-wing party could win big against Netanyahu and Gantz
A new public opinion poll in Israel shows once again that there is no absolute stability in Israel's political arena, that Israeli society is looking for new leaders, that its trust in the current leaders is shaky, and that it wants to bring about changes. Any system of government.
Polls revealed that even the “official camp” led by Benny Kants, who has gained wide popularity today, would be hit as hard as Benjamin Netanyahu's “Likud” if a new party was formed.
63 percent of the public polled said they wanted early elections in 2024 (33 percent believed the end of the current year would be the best date, 30 percent wanted elections held immediately), and 33 percent wanted elections scheduled for November 2026. They believe that it should be conducted.
The results of the poll were published on Sunday evening on Channel 13, and were conducted by Dr. Ariel Elon and Youssef Mahalida, and were divided into several categories. In the beginning, questions were asked according to the current structure in the political arena; That is, the results of the current parties were traditional and similar to the poll published by “Maariv” newspaper every Friday. That is, the Netanyahu government and its camp will fall and predict the victory of the other camp led by Benny Gantz with a majority of seats.
A copy of “Likud”.
But in the other part of the poll, the public was asked a question about the possibility of creating a new right-wing party with a “Likud”-like character. The “New Right” party, led by former prime minister Naftali Bennett, former Mossad chief Yossi Cohen and Gideon Sarin, is a right-wing liberal that pulled out of the government coalition two months ago, pulling out of an alliance with Gantz.
The result was shocking; Such a party would change the political map in Israel, and it would defeat Netanyahu and form the next government.
According to the poll, the Bennett, Saar and Cohen coalition will win 32 seats, followed by the Netanyahu-led “Likud” and the official camp led by Gantz, with 15 seats each. In effect, Likud would lose 5 seats and Gantz 15 to the new party.
It was assumed that the two Zionist left parties (Labor and Meretz) would unite as a single team and contest the elections. Former Deputy Chief of the Israeli Army, General Yair Golan, was interested in the coalition, which would contest the election, so Bennett would win 9 seats if he allied with Saar and Cohen.
In this case, the remaining results are as follows: “Yesh Ited” led by Yair Lapid: 8 seats (today there are 24 seats), and “Yisrael Beytenu” led by Avigdor Lieberman: 7 seats (today there are 6 seats. And Maariv » according to the latest polls, he has 12 seats won), the “Otmesa Yehudit” led by Itamar Ben Gvir: 8 seats (today there are 6 seats), the Mizrahi religious party “Shas”: 6 seats (today there are 10 seats. Seats), and the religious Ashkenazi party “United Torah Judaism.” Front for Peace and Equality and the Arab Movement for Change led by Ayman Ode and Ahmad Tibi: 5 seats (i.e., as for the consolidated list of the Islamic Movement led by Mansoor Abbas, it won 4 seats (today). There are 5 seats).
In this case, the number of seats for right-wing parties is 79 out of 120 seats in the Knesset, 32 seats for left and center camps, and 9 seats for Arab parties. The new party will have the option of forming a government with the left and center with 64 seats (or 68 seats if the Islamist movement is included) or with a 79-seat majority with far-right and religious parties. Both possibilities are possible.
They don't trust Netanyahu
The poll showed that a majority of Israelis (68 percent) did not believe Netanyahu's announcement that Israel was “one step away” from winning the war on Gaza, and only 16 percent believed the Israeli prime minister's words. 16 percent of respondents did not know how to answer this question.
After commenting on the Israeli response to the Iranian attack, 48 percent of respondents said they should fire Netanyahu, 35 percent said they should fire National Defense Minister Itamar Ben Ghir, and 17 percent said they did not know the answer to the question.
It is noteworthy that Netanyahu and his allies strongly oppose early elections and are determined to stay in power with a 64-member majority. The opposition, the media and even the US administration accuse it of continuing the war on Gaza. They realize that ending the war with the “enemy” will lead to the opening of a civil war, first and foremost to “overthrow the government”.
Many close advisers are advising Netanyahu to take another approach to the war. They tell him: “You will inevitably have to postpone the election, so it is desirable that the initiative comes from you and on political grounds.” It starts with removing Ben Gvir from the government. Instead of turning it into a war over the government's failures that led to the Hamas surprise attack last October 7, we advise you to make a political effort that aligns with the US plan. A peace process with Arab and Islamic countries (with demilitarized and limited sovereignty) in exchange for the establishment of an incomplete Palestinian state would change the scene and put you in the lead.
Lieberman, a one-time protege and acquaintance of Netanyahu's, posted a tweet on social media last week accusing Netanyahu of plotting to dismantle the government coalition and approving the installation of the US plan. The incomplete Palestinian state warns that the plan is a new political maneuver.
