A two-phase deal after “Gaza”.

There are those in Israel who believe that the current situation presents a golden opportunity to launch a large-scale preemptive war against Hezbollah's capabilities in Lebanon. The Israeli military has ended most of its operations in Gaza. Forces that participated in the battles with the Hamas movement have been withdrawn and may be directed towards the Gaza Strip, its northern borders, where the colonies have been emptied of settlers, and the US presence in the region. , but there are those who do not support this view.

Those rejecting the war against Lebanon in that organization believe that the war on Gaza has left the army exhausted and exhausted and needs months more to recover. They believe that vacating the northern settlements is not a solution. A widespread war with Hezbollah would mean that there is no safe place in the whole of Israel, as the party's missiles occupy its entire territory, inch by inch, and they see no room for a preemptive war, as the factor of surprise has fallen since last October 11, the day Israel intended to launch a war.

Between these two concepts, the military reality in southern Lebanon continues, amid US efforts led by US Ambassador Amos Hochstein to reach a diplomatic solution to prevent war, which he negotiated during his recent visit to Tel Aviv. Israeli media described it as positive as he said: “There are positive signs of peace between Israel and Hezbollah after the US mediation.” Is this situation consistent with what Speaker of the Parliament Nabih Berri said about Lebanon's full readiness to implement Resolution 1701?

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According to a series of sources, Perry's statement is inseparable from the positive atmosphere paid to the Israeli media, especially after the visit of the US presidential adviser Amos Hochstein to Tel Aviv in recent days, where various indicators confirm that there is progress somewhere. However… things didn't work out for their sisters.

In principle, the basic starting point for this positivity is a genuine unwillingness to expand the scope of military conflicts, while political and media expansion comes as a result of improving the conditions for negotiation, on a basis that each party does not. Has the ability to appear broken or defeated.

Here comes the role of the United States, which seeks to act as a mediator through Hochstein by making proposals that lead to both sides agreeing. It was agreed that there will be no peace in the southern end before peace in the Gaza Strip, and after that everything will be easier, and according to the sources here, there is talk of two steps of the agreement, the first phases related to the cessation of military operations and the deployment of the Lebanese Army, and detailed talks have begun on that. Training for soldiers. And by talking about the inclusion of foreign-funded soldiers, and the second phase of demarcation, Israel must make concessions, because the border file is not negotiable for demarcation, but for integration and liberation.

All these positives remain subject to the “madness” of Israeli warlord Benjamin Netanyahu, a source of concern not only for the region, but also for the US administration.

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